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USDCAD Forecast : Loonie is gonna fly high. TP4 Reached Trade is Closed 400 Pips
USDCAD Forecast : Loonie is gonna fly high.
Fundamentals: FED minutes, which were released on Wednesday emphasizing the positive outlook for employment and wage inflation was encouraging the Dollar Bulls. The minutes were pointing out that interest rate hikes will continue as previously determined as well.
On the Canadian side, temporary optimistic climate created by the USMCA agreement – ex NAFTA – has faded out after the data below the expectations. In addition to the slowdown in the housing sector, Friday’s Core Retail sales data could not meet the expectations.
Comparing the rate hike expectaions; the market is pricing FED’s rate hike 2% – 2.25% and BAC rate hike 1.75% by the end of the year.
Technically:
On the weekly chart, Loonie completed the falling wedge pattern. Retest of the broken wedge and the bullish continuation confirm “the end of the correction.”
On the daily chart, USDCAD has completed an inverse head and shoulders pattern. The pair ended the week at 1.30990 above 1.30700 neckline.
The next targets of the pair will be:
1.31380 / TARGET REACHED
1.32000 / TARGET REACHED
1.33150 / TARGETS REACHED
1.34700 / TARGET REACHED
as long as it holds above 1.29000.
Pay Attention: The major support resides @ 1.29000. Daily closing below 1.29000 would invalidate the ISHS pattern.
Update: TP3 Reached 210 pips. Trade is open.
Latest news of “Libya’s oil production could soar higher despite OPEC weighing cuts ” sent the Oil Prices lower. This would have a negative affects on the CAD.
Loonie is flying as we predicted. At this point we will close ome part of our long positions and wait for the pullbacks to add long targeting 1.34700.
Update: We have reached our ultimate target and closed the trade with 400 Pips
You can follow the trade: USDCAD Loonie’s Gonna Fly
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USDCAD Forecast: Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these securities. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. Chartreaderpro does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Forex involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.
